{"id":10335,"date":"2017-02-01T08:08:55","date_gmt":"2017-02-01T07:08:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.fjala.info\/?p=10335"},"modified":"2021-12-10T22:52:09","modified_gmt":"2021-12-10T21:52:09","slug":"gjeopolitika-e-trumpit-eshte-racionale","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jehonashqiptare.al\/fjala\/gjeopolitika-e-trumpit-eshte-racionale\/","title":{"rendered":"Gjeopolitika e Trumpit \u00ebsht\u00eb racionale"},"content":{"rendered":"

Nga Aurel Dasareti<\/strong>, USA, ekspert i shkencave ushtarake-psikologjike<\/em> (dasaretiaurel@yahoo.com.au<\/a>)<\/p>\n

Evropa (p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb trojet shqiptare) po p\u00ebrjeton nj\u00eb transformim t\u00eb pakthyesh\u00ebm demografik dhe kulturor dhe kombi-shtet \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00ebn presion t\u00eb konsideruesh\u00ebm. Lideri i emigracionit t\u00eb OKB-s\u00eb, Peter Sutherland, gjithashtu ka deklaruar se “Sovraniteti i shtetit komb\u00ebtar \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb iluzion q\u00eb duhet t\u00eb jet\u00eb pas nesh<\/em>” dhe se “BE-ja duhet t\u00eb minoj\u00eb homogjenitetin komb\u00ebtar<\/em>.”<\/p>\n

* * *<\/p>\n

Invadimet, luft\u00ebrat, katastrofat dhe kolapsi social \u00ebsht\u00eb si zjarri n\u00eb sht\u00ebpi: kur ju s\u00eb pari e ndjeni se jeni n\u00eb rrezik, at\u00ebher\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb shum\u00eb von\u00eb. At\u00ebher\u00eb ju jeni tashm\u00eb t\u00eb vdekur. At\u00ebher\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb e kot\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb paralajm\u00ebruar. N\u00ebse duhet t\u00eb ndalet nj\u00eb revolucion, nj\u00eb luft\u00eb civile apo nj\u00eb agresion ushtarak nga jasht\u00eb, duhet ndaluar at\u00eb para se situata t\u00eb b\u00ebhet e rrezikshme.<\/p>\n

Evropa harxhon shuma t\u00eb m\u00ebdha parash p\u00ebr \u201crefugjat\u00ebt\u201d e rrejsh\u00ebm, n\u00eb vend q\u00eb t`i p\u00ebrdore ato mjete n\u00eb modernizimin e ushtris\u00eb, aft\u00ebsia mbrojt\u00ebse e s\u00eb cil\u00ebs \u00ebsht\u00eb dob\u00ebsuar. Prandaj ia besoi p\u00ebrgjegj\u00ebsin\u00eb Shteteve t\u00eb Bashkuara.<\/p>\n

Putin ka jetuar n\u00eb DDR dhe e ka par\u00eb Per\u00ebndimin p\u00ebr s\u00eb af\u00ebrmi. Ai e sheh zhvillimin e nj\u00eb Per\u00ebndimi q\u00eb nuk ka m\u00eb stomak p\u00ebr luft\u00eb. Ai e ka par\u00eb se si Per\u00ebndimi ka p\u00ebrqafuar nj\u00eb ideologji tragjikomike vet\u00ebvras\u00ebse q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb plot\u00eb kontradikta: Globalizimin, zvet\u00ebnimin e identitetit komb\u00ebtar, q\u00eb ndihmon n\u00eb shk\u00ebrmoqjen e shoq\u00ebris\u00eb. Dhe, Putin po p\u00ebrpiqet t\u00eb rishkruaj\u00eb kufijt\u00eb e Evrop\u00ebs. F\u00ebrkon duart, zg\u00ebrdhihet dhe pret momentin e volitsh\u00ebm.<\/p>\n

* * *<\/p>\n

Kriza e \u201crefugjat\u00ebve\u201d t\u00eb rrejsh\u00ebm e ka shnd\u00ebrruar Evrop\u00ebn n\u00eb kaos. N\u00eb qoft\u00eb se Evropa fare do t\u00eb mbijeton, duhet q\u00eb sa m\u00eb shpejt\u00eb t\u00eb ndryshoj\u00eb ideologjin\u00eb e \u00e7mendur t\u00eb globalizmit dhe t\u00eb kthej emigrant\u00ebt e varkave n\u00eb Afrik\u00ebn Veriore. Gjithashtu duhet d\u00ebbuar edhe t\u00eb gjith\u00eb emigrant\u00ebt e paligjsh\u00ebm q\u00eb jan\u00eb tashm\u00eb n\u00eb vend, pa marr\u00eb parasysh se kan\u00eb kaluar shum\u00eb vite q\u00eb kan\u00eb ardhur. E kam fjal\u00ebn p\u00ebr kriminel\u00eb dhe emigrant\u00eb q\u00eb me premisa t\u00eb rrejshme, duke mos treguar identitetin e v\u00ebrtet\u00eb, i kan\u00eb mashtruar vendet prit\u00ebse dhe mor\u00ebn lejen e q\u00ebndrimit.<\/p>\n

Qytetar\u00ebt evropian\u00eb jan\u00eb t\u00eb zem\u00ebruar n\u00eb brohoritjet e elit\u00ebs p\u00ebr globalizmin. Qytetar\u00ebt duan kombin dhe mbylljen p\u00ebrs\u00ebri t\u00eb kufijve p\u00ebr mysafir\u00ebt e paftuar. Atyre iu kan\u00eb shurdhuar vesh\u00ebt nga piskatja rreth modernizmit dhe multikulturalizmit.<\/p>\n

Do t\u00eb b\u00ebhet edhe shum\u00eb m\u00eb keq. Sipas OKB-s\u00eb parashikohet se deri n\u00eb vitin 2050 Evropa do t\u00eb p\u00ebrjetoj\u00eb r\u00ebnie shifrash t\u00eb popullsis\u00eb, rreth 80 milion\u00eb m\u00eb pak banor\u00eb. Nd\u00ebrsa Afrika \u00ebsht\u00eb kontinenti q\u00eb do t\u00eb p\u00ebrjetoj\u00eb rritje shum\u00eb t\u00eb madhe. Ajo brenda 35 vjet\u00ebsh do t\u00eb ket\u00eb 1.3 miliard m\u00eb shum\u00eb njer\u00ebz. Ka nj\u00eb rritje prej 109 p\u00ebr qind. Sipas teorive shkencore, deri n\u00eb vitin 2100 numri i popullsis\u00eb afrikane do t\u00eb ishte rreth 5 miliard\u00eb njer\u00ebz – nj\u00eb kat\u00ebrfish p\u00ebr 85 vjet.<\/p>\n

Nj\u00eb dit\u00eb Evropa do t\u00eb zgjohet dhe do t\u00eb kuptoj\u00eb se ata jan\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb Bota e Tret\u00eb. Ajo do t\u00eb shnd\u00ebrrohet n\u00eb nj\u00eb kaos t\u00eb paimagjinuesh\u00ebm, n\u00eb nj\u00eb terren t\u00eb konflikteve fetare dhe etnike t\u00eb shkall\u00ebs s\u00eb gjer\u00eb, korrupsion i shfrenuar, kriminalitet, dhunime seksuale t\u00eb femrave dhe p\u00ebrleshje fizike prej m\u00eb t\u00eb sertave. Brezi i ardhsh\u00ebm i evropian\u00ebve etnik do t\u00eb duhet t\u00eb jetoj\u00eb n\u00eb mjerim, varf\u00ebri dhe pasiguri.<\/p>\n

Evropa m\u00eb n\u00eb fund do t\u00eb kuptoj\u00eb se sa t\u00eb men\u00e7ur ishin japonez\u00ebt, kinez\u00ebt dhe aziatik\u00ebt tjer\u00eb t\u00eb cil\u00ebt duke qen\u00eb \u201cracist\u00eb\u201d arrit\u00ebn t\u00eb ruajn\u00eb identitetin e tyre etnik dhe kulturor.<\/p>\n

* * *<\/p>\n

Filloi me Brexit. Votuesit e SHBA-s\u00eb kan\u00eb zgjedhur nj\u00eb president (politikisht jo korrekt) i cili p\u00ebrve\u00e7 tjerash e sheh rrezikun e ri q\u00eb n\u00eb fakt k\u00ebrc\u00ebnon jo vet\u00ebm SHBA-n\u00eb por t\u00eb gjith\u00eb bot\u00ebn per\u00ebndimore, terrorizmin islamik. Dhe nj\u00eb president i cili nuk e pranon q\u00eb vendi t\u00eb posht\u00ebrohet dhe shkat\u00ebrrohet nga emigrant\u00ebt e paligjsh\u00ebm, kryesisht ata meksikan por edhe t\u00eb disa shteteve ku praktikohet islami politik.<\/p>\n

\u00c7far\u00ebdo q\u00eb njer\u00ebzit mund t\u00eb mendojn\u00eb n\u00eb lidhje me presidentin e ri amerikan, nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb ekzagjerim t\u00eb thuhet se z Donald Trump ka ardhur si nj\u00eb stuhi n\u00eb Sht\u00ebpin\u00eb e Bardh\u00eb. Gj\u00ebra t\u00eb papritura (pozitive) kan\u00eb ndodhur qysh nga dita e par\u00eb. Ky nivel i lart\u00eb i aktivitetit duket t\u00eb ket\u00eb pasur nj\u00eb efekt trondit\u00ebs n\u00eb fush\u00ebn e komenteve n\u00eb vend dhe jasht\u00eb vendit.<\/p>\n

Gjeopolitika e presidentit Trump \u00ebsht\u00eb thell\u00ebsisht racionale dhe strategjike, dhe as kuturu apo e improvizuar – ose madje edhe e rrezikshme, si pretendojn\u00eb disa.
\nTrump e huton ambientin p\u00ebrreth, sepse ai flet n\u00eb nj\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb shum\u00eb t\u00eb ndryshme se sa shumica e elit\u00ebs, prandaj njer\u00ebzit gabimisht besojn\u00eb se z Trump \u00ebsht\u00eb budalla. Shum\u00eb prej tyre akoma nuk e kan\u00eb kuptuar se bota po ndryshon.<\/p>\n

Ai nuk thot\u00eb se status quo-ja \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb e mira e t\u00eb gjitha bot\u00ebve (koh\u00ebrave). Sepse ky status ka krijuar dallime, ka forcuar regjimet autoritare, dhe ka krijuar pasoja t\u00eb r\u00ebnda mjedisore n\u00eb Azin\u00eb Lindore. Pas tet\u00eb viteve me z Obama gjendja e p\u00ebrgjithshme n\u00eb Lindjen e Mesme dhe Afrik\u00ebn Veriore \u00ebsht\u00eb shkat\u00ebrrimtare, katastrof\u00eb ku Rusia \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrs\u00ebri fituesi i madh. \u00cbsht\u00eb e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb kritikuar z Trump q\u00eb beson se ai mund ta b\u00ebj\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb detyr\u00eb m\u00eb mir\u00eb.<\/p>\n

Por pasiguria m\u00eb e madhe nuk ka aq t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb me marr\u00ebdh\u00ebniet me Rusin\u00eb apo me Lindjen e Mesme. M\u00eb e r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme \u00ebsht\u00eb Kina dhe Gjermania. T\u00eb dyja k\u00ebto fuqi t\u00eb m\u00ebdha ekonomike kan\u00eb nj\u00eb suficit tregtar shum\u00eb t\u00eb madh (t\u00eb holla q\u00eb dalin t\u00eb tep\u00ebrta n\u00eb krahasim me vler\u00ebn e mallrave t\u00eb shitura) n\u00eb d\u00ebm t\u00eb SHBA-s\u00eb. Dhe kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb pik\u00ebrisht arsyeja pse formulimi i z Trump nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb diplomatik ndaj k\u00ebtyre dy vendeve. Ai i sfidon ato:<\/p>\n

Kinez\u00ebt jan\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb gjendje shoku mbi pasojat e nj\u00eb rezultati q\u00eb mendonin se ishte i preferuar, q\u00eb do t\u00eb thot\u00eb se zoti Trump fitoi mbi zonj\u00ebn Hillary. Ata nuk e kishin marr\u00eb seriozisht at\u00eb q\u00eb ai tha n\u00eb lidhje me proteksionizmin, dhe kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb problem. Trump \u00ebsht\u00eb duke u p\u00ebrpjekur p\u00ebr t\u00eb futur rregulla t\u00eb reja p\u00ebr rendin bot\u00ebror ekonomik, sepse sipas tij, Gjermania dhe Kina rritjen e tyre ekonomike e kan\u00eb bazuar n\u00eb deficitin tregtar amerikan. Ata kan\u00eb p\u00ebrfituar nga k\u00ebrkesa amerikane dhe shitur produktet e tyre, pa dh\u00ebn\u00eb asgj\u00eb mbrapa. Nj\u00eb rezultat i till\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb i ligjsh\u00ebm n\u00eb nj\u00eb treg t\u00eb lir\u00eb, do thoshte dikush.<\/p>\n

Por pozicioni i z. Trump nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb aq i thjesht\u00eb. Ai nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb kund\u00ebr tregtis\u00eb nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare, por sipas tij tregtia duhet t\u00eb jet\u00eb n\u00eb t\u00eb mir\u00eb t\u00eb t\u00eb dy pal\u00ebve, di\u00e7ka q\u00eb nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb moment.<\/p>\n

Presidenti i ka mjetet e pushtetit p\u00ebr t\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb di\u00e7ka n\u00eb lidhje me nj\u00eb munges\u00eb t\u00eb ekuilibrit. Rasti \u00ebsht\u00eb se Kina dhe Gjermania q\u00ebndrojn\u00eb tep\u00ebr dob\u00ebt n\u00ebse USA e ndryshon q\u00ebndrimin e saj. SHBA mund t\u00eb k\u00ebrc\u00ebnoj me masa t\u00eb politik\u00ebs tregtare, po t\u00eb jet\u00eb k\u00ebshtu vet\u00ebm p\u00ebr t\u00eb marr\u00eb koncesione. Dhe, kinez\u00ebt apo gjerman\u00ebt nuk mund t\u00eb b\u00ebjn\u00eb edhe aq shum\u00eb. Ata jan\u00eb tep\u00ebr t\u00eb varur nga aksesi (qasja) n\u00eb tregun e SHBA. Ata duhet t\u00eb kishin b\u00ebr\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb n\u00eb t\u00eb gjitha k\u00ebto vite p\u00ebr t\u00eb zhvilluar ekonomin\u00eb e vendit dhe k\u00ebrkuar produkte t\u00eb vendeve t\u00eb tjera.<\/p>\n

Motivimi nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb vet\u00ebm ekonomik, por edhe gjeopolitik:
\nM\u00ebnyra e t\u00eb menduarit n\u00eb Shtetet e Bashkuara pjes\u00ebrisht mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb frika se ekonomia kineze n\u00eb 20-30 vjet\u00ebt e ardhsh\u00ebm mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb m\u00eb e madhe se ajo amerikane, n\u00ebse globalizimi i tregtis\u00eb vazhdon me shpejt\u00ebsin\u00eb q\u00eb ka n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb moment.<\/p>\n

Udh\u00ebheqja globale m\u00eb pas do t\u00eb kalonte nga nj\u00eb demokraci liberale n\u00eb nj\u00eb, t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn formalisht, diktatur\u00eb komuniste.<\/p>\n

T\u00eb gjith\u00eb njer\u00ebzit nuk jan\u00eb aq inteligjent\u00eb t\u00eb mendojn\u00eb n\u00eb gjykata t\u00eb tilla. Ata jan\u00eb t\u00eb kapur n\u00eb zhurma, dhe n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb b\u00ebhen nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb e saj. Njeriu (demonstruesi) e lejon veten t\u00eb mashtrohet nga media dhe organizata t\u00eb ndryshme \u201chumanitare\u201d q\u00eb kan\u00eb konflikt interesi. Ata nuk e kuptojn\u00eb se polemikat e mediave rreth gj\u00ebrave t\u00eb kota kan\u00eb p\u00ebr q\u00ebllim p\u00ebr t\u00eb t\u00ebrhequr v\u00ebmendjen, \u00e7menduri q\u00eb shpesh p\u00ebrdoret n\u00eb politik\u00eb dhe n\u00eb debate, p\u00ebr t\u00eb minuar dhe tallur kund\u00ebrshtar\u00ebt, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht fitimtar\u00ebt.<\/p>\n

Sjellja e medias, si n\u00eb SHBA ashtu edhe Evrop\u00eb, s\u00eb bashku me fushat\u00ebn zgjedhore amerikane dhe q\u00ebndrimin e tyre ndaj fituesit, tregon se n\u00eb \u00e7far\u00eb shkall\u00eb serioze forcat e majta q\u00ebllimisht kan\u00eb arritur t\u00eb p\u00ebrshkojn\u00eb, menaxhojn\u00eb dhe t`i keqp\u00ebrdorin mediat n\u00eb bot\u00ebn per\u00ebndimore, me rezultat q\u00eb z\u00ebrat paralajm\u00ebruese dhe opinionet tjera p\u00ebrjashtohen dhe d\u00ebnohen.<\/p>\n

“N\u00eb \u00e7do liberal ekziston nj\u00eb totalitar, q\u00eb piskat pas d\u00ebshir\u00ebs p\u00ebr t\u00eb dal jasht\u00eb”, – thoshte gjyshi im (ish oficer i lart\u00eb).<\/p>\n

* * *<\/p>\n

M\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb let\u00ebr, un\u00eb doja t\u00eb ju rekomandoj\u00eb q\u00eb ne shqiptar\u00ebt e vog\u00ebl t\u00eb lem\u00eb anash problemet dhe thash\u00eb e th\u00ebnat e bot\u00ebs s\u00eb madhe, p\u00ebr t`u p\u00ebrqendruar n\u00eb at\u00eb se \u00e7ka do t\u00eb nd\u00ebrmarr\u00eb administrata e z Trump kur b\u00ebhet fjal\u00eb p\u00ebr ne.<\/p>\n

Dhe, kryeministri i Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb londineze, n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb rast argati i t\u00eb huajve dashakeq, duhet t`i k\u00ebrkoj falje publike presidentit t\u00eb SHBA-s\u00eb dhe miqve amerikan p\u00ebr ofendimet parazgjedhore (n\u00eb adres\u00eb t\u00eb presidentit gjat\u00eb nj\u00eb emisioni t\u00eb CNN-it). Por, duhet t’i k\u00ebrkoj falje edhe Kombit Shqiptar q\u00eb aspak nuk pajtohet me at\u00eb budallall\u00ebk ndaj aleat\u00ebve tradicional dhe shp\u00ebtimtar\u00ebve ton\u00eb. Ndryshe, t\u00eb jap dor\u00ebheqje t\u00eb menj\u00ebhershme p\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb akt t\u00eb pand\u00ebrgjegjsh\u00ebm, nj\u00ebher\u00ebsh, tradhti ndaj interesave vitale t\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nga Aurel Dasareti, USA, ekspert i shkencave ushtarake-psikologjike (dasaretiaurel@yahoo.com.au) Evropa (p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb trojet shqiptare) po p\u00ebrjeton nj\u00eb transformim t\u00eb pakthyesh\u00ebm demografik dhe kulturor dhe kombi-shtet \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00ebn presion t\u00eb konsideruesh\u00ebm. Lideri i emigracionit t\u00eb OKB-s\u00eb, Peter Sutherland, gjithashtu ka deklaruar se “Sovraniteti i shtetit komb\u00ebtar \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb iluzion q\u00eb duhet t\u00eb jet\u00eb pas nesh” dhe se […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":21754,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10335","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-artikuj"],"yoast_head":"\nGjeopolitika e Trumpit \u00ebsht\u00eb racionale - FJALA e LIR\u00cb<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/jehonashqiptare.al\/fjala\/gjeopolitika-e-trumpit-eshte-racionale\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Gjeopolitika e Trumpit \u00ebsht\u00eb racionale - FJALA e LIR\u00cb\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Nga Aurel Dasareti, USA, ekspert i shkencave ushtarake-psikologjike (dasaretiaurel@yahoo.com.au) Evropa (p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb trojet shqiptare) po p\u00ebrjeton nj\u00eb transformim t\u00eb pakthyesh\u00ebm demografik dhe kulturor dhe kombi-shtet \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00ebn presion t\u00eb konsideruesh\u00ebm. 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