{"id":29910,"date":"2018-05-15T07:54:31","date_gmt":"2018-05-15T05:54:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.fjala.info\/?p=29910"},"modified":"2018-05-15T08:40:13","modified_gmt":"2018-05-15T06:40:13","slug":"euro-kosto-e-borxhit-te-jashtem-shteteror-dhe-masat-administrative-jashte-tregut","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jehonashqiptare.al\/fjala\/euro-kosto-e-borxhit-te-jashtem-shteteror-dhe-masat-administrative-jashte-tregut\/","title":{"rendered":"EURO, kosto e borxhit t\u00eb jasht\u00ebm shtet\u00ebror dhe masat administrative jasht\u00eb tregut!"},"content":{"rendered":"

ELVIN MEKA<\/strong> \u00b7 14 maj 2018<\/em><\/p>\n

N\u00eb debatin atkual, t\u00eb zgjatur tashm\u00eb prej tre muajsh, lidhur me luhatjet e kursit t\u00eb k\u00ebmbimit, kryesisht t\u00eb EURO-s n\u00eb raport me LEK-un, \u00ebsht\u00eb th\u00ebn\u00eb dhe argumentuar gjithshka rreth faktor\u00ebve madhor\u00eb dhe minor\u00eb, q\u00eb kan\u00eb ndikuar apo po ndikojn\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb zhvler\u00ebsim t\u00eb till\u00eb atipik p\u00ebr EURO-n n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri. Thuhet ATIPIK, pasi luhatje t\u00eb tilla jan\u00eb t\u00eb zakonshme gjat\u00eb situatave t\u00eb paq\u00ebndrueshme makroekonomike, apo n\u00eb kuad\u00ebr t\u00eb shp\u00ebrthimit t\u00eb krizave t\u00eb ndryshme ekonomike dhe financiare, por situata aktuale n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri p\u00ebrjashton faktor\u00eb t\u00eb till\u00eb.<\/p>\n

Natyrisht shum\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb folur p\u00ebr ndikimin e ekonomis\u00eb informale, q\u00eb pashmangshm\u00ebrisht ndikon n\u00eb nj\u00eb sjellje t\u00eb till\u00eb t\u00eb kursit t\u00eb k\u00ebmbimit, poe efekti i saj kurrsesi nuk shpjegon nj reagim kaq nervoz, si ai i fundit t\u00eb MARSIT 2018 dhe fillimit t\u00eb PRILLIT 2018. Patjeter q\u00eb t\u00eb tjer\u00eb faktor\u00eb japin kontributin e tyre n\u00eb nj\u00eb zhvler\u00ebsim t\u00eb till\u00eb t\u00eb Euros, si: fluksi i q\u00ebndruesh\u00ebm n\u00eb rritje i turist\u00ebve, investimet n\u00eb rritje n\u00eb pasuri t\u00eb paluajtshme nga jorezident\u00ebt, q\u00ebndrueshm\u00ebria e d\u00ebrgesave t\u00eb emigrant\u00ebve, e gjithashtu, edhe veprimtaria spekulative, ato transaksionet e m\u00ebdha nga institucionet financiare.<\/p>\n

Pa u zgjatur m\u00eb tej n\u00eb analiza dhe interpretime, tashm\u00eb t\u00eb ezauruara, rreth zhvler\u00ebsimit t\u00eb shpejt\u00eb t\u00eb Euros gjat\u00eb 3 muajve t\u00eb fundit, \u00ebsht\u00eb e r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme t\u00eb trajtohen dy \u00e7\u00ebshtje, n\u00eb dukje periferike, por q\u00eb meritojn\u00eb v\u00ebmendje, q\u00eb t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn t\u00eb mos keqp\u00ebrdoren, apo p\u00ebrdoren si kapital i pavler\u00eb, kryesisht n\u00eb fush\u00ebn politik\u00ebs, e m\u00eb tej n\u00eb debatin ekonomik komb\u00ebtar.<\/p>\n

Kosto e borxhit shtet\u00ebror dhe ulja e pretenduar e tij<\/strong><\/p>\n

Nj\u00eb nga \u00e7\u00ebshtjet ku tehu i debatit, sidomos atij politik, mprihet si shpata e samurait, \u00ebsht\u00eb pik\u00ebrisht pretendimi i nj\u00eb \u201cloje\u201d, apo porosie nga \u201clart\u201d p\u00ebr t\u00eb zhvler\u00ebsuar me q\u00ebllim kursin e k\u00ebmbimit n\u00eb favor t\u00eb Lek-ut, madje duke pohuar q\u00eb qeveria po kursen dhjet\u00ebra miliona euro nga ky forcim i Lekut. K\u00ebtu kemi nevoj\u00eb t\u00eb b\u00ebjm\u00eb disa llogaritje:<\/p>\n

Sipas dokumentit zyrtar t\u00eb qeveris\u00eb:
\nSTRATEGJIA AFATMESME E MENAXHIMIT T\u00cb BORXHIT 2018-2020<\/strong> (http:\/\/www.financa.gov.al\/files\/userfiles\/Borxhi\/Strategjia_afatmesme_e_menaxhimit_te_borxhit_publik_20152017redaktuar_2\/Strategjia_Afatmesme_e_Menaxhimit_te_Borxhit_2018-2020.pdf<\/a>), deklarohet q\u00eb stoku i borxhit shtet\u00ebror shqiptar arriti 1,012.2 miliard\u00eb Lek\u00eb, nga i cili 32.1% e tij \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb Euro.<\/p>\n

Nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb, kosto mesatare e gjith\u00eb borxhit t\u00eb huaj n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb periudh\u00eb (fund 2016) \u00ebsht\u00eb 2,3%.<\/p>\n

Le t\u00eb b\u00ebjm\u00eb disa llogaritje t\u00eb thjeshta, ku n\u00eb parantez\u00eb b\u00ebjm\u00eb k\u00ebto supozime:
\n1. Stoku i borxhit t\u00eb jasht\u00ebm vijon t\u00eb jet\u00eb i pandryshuar deri m\u00eb sot dhe pjesa e borxhit t\u00eb huaj n\u00eb Euro mbetet po n\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjtat nivele,
\n2. Kosto e borxhit n\u00eb euro \u00ebsht\u00eb i barabart\u00eb me koston e mesatare t\u00eb borxhit t\u00eb huaj
\n3. Zhvler\u00ebsimi aktual i kursit t\u00eb k\u00ebmbimit t\u00eb Euros (1 EUR = 127 Lek) \u00ebsht\u00eb rreth 6%, n\u00eb krahasim me fundin e vitit 2016 (1EUR = 135.2 Lek).<\/p>\n

Pra:
\n– Borxhi i jasht\u00ebm n\u00eb Euro: 325,000,000,000 leke (325 miliard\u00eb lek) = 1,012,200,000,0000 x 32.1%
\n– Interesi = 2.3%
\n– Kosto= 2.3% x 325,000,000,000 leke = 7,473,000,000 lek\u00eb (55.27 milion\u00eb euro me kurs 1EUR = 135.2 LEK)<\/p>\n

N\u00ebse do t\u00eb marrim t\u00eb mir\u00ebqen\u00eb faktin q\u00eb qeveria ka ndikuar dhe \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrpjekur t\u00eb ndikoj\u00eb dhe zhvler\u00ebsoj\u00eb vler\u00ebn e Euro-s, at\u00ebher\u00eb \u201ckursimi\u201d nga forcimi i Lek-ut do t\u00eb jet\u00eb:
\nKursimi = 6% x 325,000,000,000 leke = 448,380,000 lek\u00eb, ose 3,530,500 Euro<\/strong><\/p>\n

P\u00ebrmbledhtazi e gjith\u00eb kjo \u201csip\u00ebrmarrje\u201d e qeveris\u00eb prodhon, p\u00ebr gjith\u00eb vitin, nj\u00eb kursim prej 3,5 milion\u00eb EURO!!!!!
\nP\u00ebr leht\u00ebsi krahasimi, mjafton t\u00eb theksojm\u00eb se k\u00ebt\u00eb kursim qeveria mund ta siguroj\u00eb thjesht duke ulur me 0.1% koston mesatare vjetore te borxhit t\u00eb brendsh\u00ebm!!!<\/p>\n

Masat administrative q\u00eb i k\u00ebrkohen qeveris\u00eb<\/strong><\/p>\n

Nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb, s\u00eb fundi sip\u00ebrmarrja private i ka k\u00ebrkuar Ministris\u00eb s\u00eb Financave q\u00eb t\u00eb marr\u00eb masa p\u00ebr t\u00eb ndaluar zhvler\u00ebsimin e euros! (“Bashkimi i Prodhuesve Shqiptar\u00eb u b\u00ebn thirrje Ministris\u00eb s\u00eb Financave dhe Ekonomis\u00eb, p\u00ebr ngritjen e menj\u00ebhershme t\u00eb nj\u00eb grupi pune p\u00ebr analizimin e k\u00ebsaj situate, si dhe marrjen e masave p\u00ebr t\u00eb ndaluar zhvler\u00ebsimin e monedh\u00ebs s\u00eb huaj n\u00eb vend<\/em>\u201d, p\u00ebrfundon letra \u2013 MONITOR).<\/p>\n

N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb kuad\u00ebr, duket se ende nuk kuptohet qart\u00eb ekonomia e tregut dhe roli q\u00eb ka qeveria apo autoriteti monetar. Biznesi shqiptar, e kryesisht eksportuesit, nuk po arrijn\u00eb t\u00eb kuptojn\u00eb se n\u00eb treg punohet me instrumentet dhe mekanizma tregu dhe jo nd\u00ebrhyrje administrative. Kjo k\u00ebrkes\u00eb e eksportuesve \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eblloj sikur qeveria shqiptare 3-4 vite m\u00eb par\u00eb t\u2019u k\u00ebrkonte eksportuesve q\u00eb, meqen\u00ebse kursi i k\u00ebmbimit n\u00eb ato koh\u00eb ishte 16% m\u00eb i lart\u00eb se ai n\u00eb vitin 2009, t\u00eb fillonin t\u00eb rrisnin administrativisht dhe me zor pagat e punonj\u00ebsve, apo investimet, pasi kan\u00eb fituar mekanikisht nga kursi i k\u00ebmbimit.<\/p>\n

Biznesi shqiptar duhet te kuptoje se ka ardhur koha t\u00eb p\u00ebrdor\u00eb instrumentet e tregut, p\u00ebr t\u00eb menaxhuar rreziqet e biznesit, qofshin k\u00ebto dhe rreziqe q\u00eb vijn\u00eb nga kursi i k\u00ebmbimit. Bota ka mbi 500 vjet qe i p\u00ebrdor, kurse neve p\u00ebrtojm\u00eb t\u00eb lexojm\u00eb dhe kuptojm\u00eb se \u00e7far\u00eb jan\u00eb k\u00ebto instrumente derivate q\u00eb p\u00ebrdoren p\u00ebr menaxhim risku dhe zgjedhim rrug\u00ebn m\u00eb t\u00eb shkurt\u00ebr: QEVERINE!!!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

ELVIN MEKA \u00b7 14 maj 2018 N\u00eb debatin atkual, t\u00eb zgjatur tashm\u00eb prej tre muajsh, lidhur me luhatjet e kursit t\u00eb k\u00ebmbimit, kryesisht t\u00eb EURO-s n\u00eb raport me LEK-un, \u00ebsht\u00eb th\u00ebn\u00eb dhe argumentuar gjithshka rreth faktor\u00ebve madhor\u00eb dhe minor\u00eb, q\u00eb kan\u00eb ndikuar apo po ndikojn\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb zhvler\u00ebsim t\u00eb till\u00eb atipik p\u00ebr EURO-n n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":29911,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29910","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-artikuj"],"yoast_head":"\nEURO, kosto e borxhit t\u00eb jasht\u00ebm shtet\u00ebror dhe masat administrative jasht\u00eb tregut! - FJALA e LIR\u00cb<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/jehonashqiptare.al\/fjala\/euro-kosto-e-borxhit-te-jashtem-shteteror-dhe-masat-administrative-jashte-tregut\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"EURO, kosto e borxhit t\u00eb jasht\u00ebm shtet\u00ebror dhe masat administrative jasht\u00eb tregut! - FJALA e LIR\u00cb\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"ELVIN MEKA \u00b7 14 maj 2018 N\u00eb debatin atkual, t\u00eb zgjatur tashm\u00eb prej tre muajsh, lidhur me luhatjet e kursit t\u00eb k\u00ebmbimit, kryesisht t\u00eb EURO-s n\u00eb raport me LEK-un, \u00ebsht\u00eb th\u00ebn\u00eb dhe argumentuar gjithshka rreth faktor\u00ebve madhor\u00eb dhe minor\u00eb, q\u00eb kan\u00eb ndikuar apo po ndikojn\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb zhvler\u00ebsim t\u00eb till\u00eb atipik p\u00ebr EURO-n n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri. 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